https://www.reuters.com/world/middle...el-2026-03-10/
Iran bets on endurance, energy disruption to outlast US, Israel
Iran is wagering it can outlast the United States and Israel-not militarily, but by grinding the war into a brutal contest of endurance. Its strategy is stark: Unleash drones and missiles, cut vital energy routes and jolt global markets hard enough to force Washington to blink first.
Despite the shock of the U.S.-Israeli strikes and the loss of key figures, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC)--long the ultimate guardian of the Islamic Republic -- is firmly *in control, directing the battlefield, executing pre-planned contingencies and dictating strategy and targets in the war.
"The big question is who blinks first in this all out war-Donald Trump or Iran's leaders?" Gerges said.
By driving up energy prices and spreading financial pain across Western economies, Tehran hopes the pressure will force a U.S. retreat.
Early signs are that the effects are already biting. Oil prices are spiking, gas costs are rising and political unease is growing in Washington as the economic fallout collides with November midterm elections.
Under that pressure, Trump, Gerges said, could eventually seek an exit by declaring victory, citing the killing of Iran's supreme leader, the destruction of Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities and key military infrastructure.

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