Thursday February 03 2022 Actual Previous Consensus
01:00 PM
03:00 PM
GB
BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.5% 0.25% 0.5
Ýngiltere merkez bankasý politika faizini 0.25 puan arttýrarak %0.50'ye yükseltti.
Thursday February 03 2022 Actual Previous Consensus
01:00 PM
03:00 PM
GB
BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.5% 0.25% 0.5
Ýngiltere merkez bankasý politika faizini 0.25 puan arttýrarak %0.50'ye yükseltti.
Son düzenleme : deniz43; 03-02-2022 saat: 15:29.
Merkez bankasý haftalýk istatistikleri(28 Ocak haftasý)
-Merkez Bankasýnýn -altýn hariç- brüt döviz rezervleri 840 milyon dolar arttý.
-Yabancýlar 138.9 milyon dolarlýk hisse senedi sattýlar , 63.6 milyon dolar hazine tahvili aldýlar.
-Yerlilerin Döviz tevdiat hesaplarý,parite etkisinden arýndýrýlmýþ olarak(altýn ve kýymetli maden hesaplarý dahil) ;2186 milyon dolar azaldý.
BDDK'nýn yayýnladýðý haftalýk raporlarda 28 Ocak 2022' da TL mevduat hesaplarý haftalýk olarak 28.4 milyar TL artarak 2017.4 milyar TL'den,2045.8 milyar TL'ye yükselmiþ ama ayný tarihler arasýnda kredi talep eden müþterilere de bankalar 24.4 milyar TL mevduat hesabý açmýþlar(TL krediler 2850.8 milyar TL'den 2875.2 milyar TL'ye yükselmiþ)
Yani gerçekte ,TL mevduatlarýn artýþ tutarý 4 milyar TL artmýþ ..Ama diðer taraftan döviz tevdiat hesaplarýnda da 2.186 milyar dolar azalma görüyoruz.
Bu durumda ,aradaki fark kadar döviz tevdiat hesabýndaki azalmayý,"sistemden döviz çýkýþý olmuþ" þeklinde yorumlayabiliriz.(Þirketlerin dýþ borç ödemesi,ithalat ödemesi ya da gerçek kiþilerin "yastýk altý" olabilir.)
Thursday February 03 2022 Actual Previous Consensus
03:45 PM
EA
Deposit Facility Rate -0.5% -0.5% -0.5%
03:45 PM
EA
ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.0% 0.0% 0%
03:45 PM
EA
Marginal Lending Rate 0.25% 0.25%
AVRUPA MERKEZ BANKASI KARARI
Monetary policy decisions
3 February 2022
The Governing Council confirmed the decisions taken at its monetary policy meeting last December.
Pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP)
In the first quarter of 2022, the Governing Council is conducting net asset purchases under the PEPP at a lower pace than in the previous quarter. It will discontinue net asset purchases under the PEPP at the end of March 2022.
The Governing Council intends to reinvest the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the PEPP until at least the end of 2024. In any case, the future roll-off of the PEPP portfolio will be managed to avoid interference with the appropriate monetary policy stance.
The pandemic has shown that, under stressed conditions, flexibility in the design and conduct of asset purchases has helped to counter the impaired transmission of monetary policy and made the Governing Council's efforts to achieve its goal more effective. Within the Governing Council's mandate, under stressed conditions, flexibility will remain an element of monetary policy whenever threats to monetary policy transmission jeopardise the attainment of price stability. In particular, in the event of renewed market fragmentation related to the pandemic, PEPP reinvestments can be adjusted flexibly across time, asset classes and jurisdictions at any time. This could include purchasing bonds issued by the Hellenic Republic over and above rollovers of redemptions in order to avoid an interruption of purchases in that jurisdiction, which could impair the transmission of monetary policy to the Greek economy while it is still recovering from the fallout from the pandemic. Net purchases under the PEPP could also be resumed, if necessary, to counter negative shocks related to the pandemic.
Asset purchase programme (APP)
In line with the step-by-step reduction in asset purchases decided on in December 2021 and to ensure that the monetary policy stance remains consistent with inflation stabilising at the Governing Council's target over the medium term, monthly net purchases under the APP will amount to E40 billion in the second quarter of 2022 and E30 billion in the third quarter. From October onwards, the Governing Council will maintain net asset purchases under the APP at a monthly pace of E20 billion for as long as necessary to reinforce the accommodative impact of its policy rates. The Governing Council expects net purchases to end shortly before it starts raising the key ECB interest rates.
The Governing Council also intends to continue reinvesting, in full, the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the APP for an extended period of time past the date when it starts raising the key ECB interest rates and, in any case, for as long as necessary to maintain favourable liquidity conditions and an ample degree of monetary accommodation.
Key ECB interest rates
The interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50% respectively.
In support of its symmetric 2% inflation target and in line with its monetary policy strategy, the Governing Council expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present or lower levels until it sees inflation reaching 2% well ahead of the end of its projection horizon and durably for the rest of the projection horizon, and it judges that realised progress in underlying inflation is sufficiently advanced to be consistent with inflation stabilising at 2% over the medium term. This may also imply a transitory period in which inflation is moderately above target.
Refinancing operations
The Governing Council will continue to monitor bank funding conditions and ensure that the maturing of operations under the third series of targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO III) does not hamper the smooth transmission of its monetary policy. The Governing Council will also regularly assess how targeted lending operations are contributing to its monetary policy stance. As announced, it expects the special conditions applicable under TLTRO III to end in June this year. The Governing Council will also assess the appropriate calibration of its two-tier system for reserve remuneration so that the negative interest rate policy does not limit banks' intermediation capacity in an environment of ample excess liquidity.
***
The Governing Council stands ready to adjust all of its instruments, as appropriate, to ensure that inflation stabilises at its 2% target over the medium term.
-Avrupa Merkez Bankasý piyasa beklentileri doðrultusunda faizleri sabit tuttu.
-Banka politika faizini yüzde 0, marjinal fonlama faizini yüzde 0.25, mevduat faizini yüzde eksi 0.50'de tuttu.
-Karar metninde ilk çeyrekte pandemi varlýk alým programýnýn önceki çeyreðe göre daha düþük hýzda devam edeceði vurgulandý.Program dahilindeki alýmlarýn Mart'ta tamamlanacaðý ifade edildi.
-Kararda varlýk alým programýnýn (APP) ikinci çeyrekte aylýk 40 milyar euro, üçüncü çeyrekte ise 30 milyar euro olacaðý belirtildi.
-Ekim'den geçerli olmak üzere bu program dahilindeki net alýmlarýn 20 milyar euro olacaðý ifade edildi.
Sadýk Üye
ECB ile FED karrlarýný karþýlaþtýrsak,
EURUSD tarafýndan
hangi merkez bankasý kararý sonrasý EURUSD bundan sonraki yönü yukari yada aþaði olacak þekilde EUR mu USD mi daha fazla deðerlenir sizce?
AMB bu yýl bir faiz arttýrýmý yapsa da Fed'e göre sembolik kalýr düþüncesindeyim.ABD ve Avrupa'nýn enflasyon dinamikleri farklý.ABD'de avrupaya göre çok daha sýký önlemler alýnmasý ,daha fazla faizin arttýrýlmasý ve merkez bankasý bilançosunun da daha hýzlý daraltýlmasý gerekiyor.Bu nedenle benim beklentim dolarýn euro'ya karþý deðer kazanmayý sürdürmesi þeklinde.Originally Posted by Kurt73
Haftaya ABD'den enflasyon verisi gelecek ve ABD'de enflasyonun yükselmeye devam ettiðinin görülmesi,Fed'in para politikasýndaki sýkýlaþtýrma takvimini öne çekme beklentisi yaratýp,euro/usd paritesini aþaðýya çekmesi beklenir.
Thursday February 03 2022 Actual Previous Consensus
04:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims 29/JAN 238K 261K ® 245K
06:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI JAN 59.9 62.3 ® 59.5
06:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity JAN 59.9 68.3 ®
06:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment JAN 52.3 54.7 ®
06:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders JAN 61.7 62.1 ®
06:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices JAN 82.3 83.9
https://www.ismworld.org/supply-mana...vices/january/
06:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM DEC -0.4% 1.8% ® -0.2%
06:00
US
Factory Orders ex Transportation DEC 0.1% 0.8%
Platin Üye
Deniz bey,
Þirketlerin 17 Þubat a kadar KKM den faydalanma þansý var. Benim merak ettiðim þu. Þirketler þu an kademeli olarak mý bu sisteme geçiyorlar? Yoksa 17 Þubat a kadar bu talep toplanýp 1 günde ani bir dolar dan TL ye dönüþ durumu olur mu? Kura ani ve sert müdahale olarak yapabilirler mi bu iþi? Ýlaveten þirketler bu fiyattan bozsun diye dolarý 13.60 a çýkarmýþ olabilirler mi?
Ne yazik ki herþeyden þüphe eder hale getirdiler bizi.
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