Dün cumhurbaşkanı Kılıçdaroğlu'nun arkasında mekanizma var demişti, operasyon yapmak istiyorlarmış.
Serdar Akinan da kamudaki Çerkez ekip mevcut ekibe operasyon yapmak istiyor diyordu.
İktidar savaşlarında borsa karambole gidiyor.
Bugünün programı
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14:30 Rize Mitingi (15 Temmuz Cumhuriyet ve Demokrasi Meydanı)
17:30 Yeni Zigana Tüneli Açılış Töreni (Meydan Parkı/Trabzon)
Tüm yorumlarım asla/zinhar alım veya satım tavsiyesi değildir.
"Zayif devamli adalet ister, halbuki bu kuvvetlinin umurunda bile değildir."
Bir analist BBHT'de kredi satışlardan dolayı dedi, aracı kurumlarda faizler yükselmiş kredi açmakta isteksizmiş. Alacak olan en 6 ay vade ile alsın dedi.
Tüm yorumlarım asla/zinhar alım veya satım tavsiyesi değildir.
"Zayif devamli adalet ister, halbuki bu kuvvetlinin umurunda bile değildir."
JP Morgan'ın son raporundan:
With elections coming on 14/28 May (1st/2nd round), we look at two scenarios
(link) of post-election policy as laid out by our Economics/FICC strategy
teams where their “strong commitment to policy orthodoxy†generates 74%
upside in MSCI Türkiye in USD terms but their “modest return to orthodox
polices†generates 29% downside. In line with the FX and rate changes envisaged
in the two scenarios, from a top-down equities view, we expect a big re-rating in the Strong Commitment case from 4.6xPE to 9.2x PE but still a 35% discount to
EM and no re-rating in the Modest Return case. The key drivers of equity returns
are FX and PE re-rating. We remain Neutral on Türkiye in our CEEMEA and EM
equity allocation. For investors looking at the upside, we would position in key
domestic sectors – banks and staples as well as Koc Holding, a diversified hold co.
The push-pull on equities will be the potential downside from a weaker TRY,
which is inevitable according to our FICC team, versus the potential upside of re-rating EM’s cheapest market, which is only likely with a Strong
Commitment to orthodoxy . Türkiye trades on 4.6x 12m fwd consensus PE on the non-financials and c2x for the financials. Should Türkiye stick to orthodox macro
policies, we think it should trade a) closer to its median PE over the last 15 years
and b) narrow the discount to EM. When we compare Turkish stocks to EM sector
averages, the median discount in the 2010’s was 28%, then 46% in the last 15 years
and is 65% now. Stocks would double if the discount reverted to the average of the 2010s. Meanwhile, the recent jump in trading volumes makes Türkiye liquid
enough even for the biggest GEM funds - its 5% of CEEMEA market cap and 40%
of trading volume with the MSCI stocks trading $1.4bn ADTV.
Positioning: Foreign ownership of the stock market has fallen sharply in the last the four years from >60% to only 29%. Looking at EM funds positioning,
we see that Türkiye is still in the middle of the EM pack in terms of OW and UWs
– at least comparing it to other small (i.e. sub-2%) EM markets. Pushing foreign
equity ownership back to 50% would mean c. $15-20bn FX inflows.
Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
yuzde 20 civarı dusmus endeks bence maliyet dusurme adına yavastan topa girilebilir
Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
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